Freshman sires are on a roll April 20 aided by Analyze the Odds, who became the first winner for WinStar Farm's grade 1 winner Overanalyze . The colt won a $100,000 maiden special weight at Aqueduct by 4 1/2 lengths, about an hour after Hill 'n' Dale Farms' freshman Violence got his first winner at Keeneland.
Analyze the Odds, the first foal produced by the winning Mineshaft daughter The Sense Angel, is raced by Repole Stable and trained by Todd Pletcher, the team that won three graded stakes and earned $1,046,381 with Overanalyze.
Lansdowne Thoroughbreds bred Analyze the Odds in New York. Agent Jim Crupi bought the dark bay colt on Repole's behalf for $15,000 at the 2016 Fasig-Tipton October yearling sale in Kentucky through the Indian Creek consignment. The colt is out of the family that produced English and Irish champions El Gran Senor and Try My Best (both are full brothers to Analyze the Odds' third dam, Golden Oriole, a winner by Northern Dancer and out of Sex Appeal). Analyze the Odds' second dam, Sense of Class (Fusaichi Pegasus) has not produced a black-type runner yet but she has five winners out of six to race.
Analyze the Odds broke sharply in the 4 1/2-furlong race but conceded the lead early to Magnanimus Man, the first starter for Hill 'n' Dale Farms' freshman sire New Year's Day . Magnanimus Man rolled through fractions of :23.18 and :46.54, holding onto the lead through mid-stretch. Coming out of the turn, Analyze the Odds and jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. quickly closed the gap with the leader and rolled easily past to win in a final time of :52.53.
Magnanimus Man finished third behind Analyze the Odds' stablemate Surprise Wonder, who kicked in late to get second.
Overanalyze was one of the top 2-year-olds of his crop, winning the five-furlong Futurity Stakes (G2) at Belmont Park and nine-furlong Remsen Stakes (G2) at Aqueduct in 2012. He captured his biggest victory as a 3-year-old, decisively winning the $1 million Arkansas Derby (G1) at Oaklawn Park.
Overanalyze bred 151 mares in his first book in 2014, making him one of six in his sire class to breed more than 150 mares. The 5-year-old son of Dixie Union out of Unacloud, by Unaccounted For, stands at WinStar for $10,000, stands and nurses.