Warning: what you are about to read should be taken with extreme skepticism. Not to sound self deprecating, but yours truly is on one nasty losing streak in the Triple Crown, and the selection for the Belmont Stakes will be made as a means of self defense.
There is still a major concern about a son of Unbridled's Song getting a mile and a half, and although he’s done nothing wrong in the mornings, he also hasn’t done anything to get excited about and had several days of virtual inactivity early in the week.
I realize this does not exactly sound like a ringing endorsement for picking him in the
If I were looking at this race cold and going strictly by logic I would not look past Mine That Bird and
Based on only two gallops in the slop, I have to like Mine That Bird to again run a huge race. This horse is like the Energizer bunny. You just wind him up in the morning and he goes out there and does what he does every morning. He is one of the best gallopers you’ll ever see, based on his enthusiasm, professionalism, consistency, and fluid, powerful strides. In short, he is a pleasure to watch, and mornings with him at Pimlico and Belmont will remain one of the personal highlights of this year’s Triple Crown
This is an extremely tough race to figure based on how the horses look. Chocolate Candy and Summer Bird have thrived since the Kentucky Derby, and it wouldn’t come as a surprise to see either one of them run big. For a big price, I’m looking for Flying Private to run huge. Wayne Lukas has him primed, and I like everything I’ve seen from him since he arrived at
Two horses – Chocolate Candy and Mr. Hot Stuff – still are unproven on a fast dirt track, so if you don’t want to take the gamble they will handle it well enough to win that would narrow the field down. I love the fact that both horses shipped to
So, although this is sort of a wishy-washy analysis, I’m going to use
Now that I’ve gone out on a limb and given you the three top choices, I’ll throw in Flying Private to put some spice in any exotics bets.
Now for some offbeat betting angles. Consider a Barn 42 trifecta of Mine That Bird, Chocolate Candy, and Summer Bird, who all occupied Barn 42 at Churchill Downs. This makes little sense from a logical standpoint, but who cares about logic?
Another angle is boxing Mine That Bird, Charitable Man, and Summer Bird, who are all sired by Belmont and Travers winners.
Finally, you have
So, there you have it –
What, did I not include one of Nick Zito’s horses with his record in the