Downey Profile: Derby by the Speed Numbers

Analysis and handicapping the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown prep races.

By Dick Downey

In 55 of the last 59 runnings of the Kentucky Derby, the winner was either on the lead with an eighth of a mile to go in the race, within a length of the lead, or running second although more than a length off the leader. In all, 42 of the last 59 winners, or 71%, were on the lead at the eighth pole. We present a side-by-side chart with comparative speed figures for the Derby contenders' 1 1/8 mile races. More