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Coolmore Lexington, Illinois Derby Selections

The major Kentucky Derby by Yum! Brands preps are finished, but there's still some good 3-year-old racing out there. Let's take a look at the Grade III Coolmore Lexington Stakes and the Grade III Illinois Derby.

 Thursday, April 18, 2013

Wide Open Blue Grass Full of Twists and Turns

This year's edition of the Grade I Blue Grass Stakes may be wide open, so let's have fun with it and try to bring home a winner.

 Thursday, April 11, 2013

Wynn Odds to Win Triple Crown Released

If you're leaning in favor of any particular horse for the Kentucky Derby, maybe you'd like to know what Johnny Avello thinks about its odds to win the Triple Crown.

 Tuesday, April 09, 2013

Wood Memorial: V Is for Victory

Verrazano could lose the grade I Wood Memorial, and so could Vyjack, but it would be a first for either one of them.

 Thursday, April 04, 2013

Pulling for Overanalyze in the Gotham

It's hard to believe that we're already so far down the Kentucky Derby Trail that the final prep for the Grade I Wood Memorial is on Saturday.

 Thursday, February 28, 2013

Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next

One week into the Kentucky Derby Championship Series, we run down the schedules of the major contenders, and more.

 Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Winning Belmont Stakes Patterns Since 1978

Belmont Stakes charts since the last Triple Crown was won show that it is almost imperative to be in the top three with a quarter-mile left in the race -- and to be on the lead at the furlong marker.

 Friday, June 01, 2012

Derby by the Speed Numbers

Or, Who'll Get to the Eighth Pole First; Who Can Run on An Off Track?

 Tuesday, May 01, 2012

Updated Graded Earnings Chart--Jockeys Added

Chart of contenders for the May 5 Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I), ranked by earnings in graded stakes that are used to determine 20-horse starting field.

 Monday, April 23, 2012

Coolmore Lexington: Will Speed Rule the Day?

Let's get right to it and start this analysis with Morgan's Guerilla. He's breaking from post 1.

 Thursday, April 19, 2012

Derby Graded Earnings List Updated (Top 64)

Bodemeister jumped into the Top 20 in a big way with a 9 1/2-length win of the grade II Arkansas Derby, catapulting him to number 11.

 Sunday, April 15, 2012

Blue Grass Win to Early Speed or Deep Closer?

I think either Hansen or Dullahan will win the Grade I Toyota Blue Grass, but how will the track be playing on Saturday?

 Thursday, April 12, 2012

Derby Graded Earnings List Inflates

After Saturday's graded stakes, Rousing Sermon is number 20 on the Kentucky Derby graded stakes earnings list with $270,000. He's ahead of Mark Valeski, El Padrino, Reveron and a host of others.

 Monday, April 09, 2012

Downey: Can Gemologist Be Upset in Wood?

The Grade I Wood Memorial is worth taking a risk with a moderate longshot, but things have to set up right for him.

 Thursday, April 05, 2012

Is Illinois Derby Pletcher's Stepping Stone?

It's possible Todd Pletcher will have just one Kentucky Derby horse, and the name of that horse is Our Entourage.

 Thursday, April 05, 2012

Pletcher's Derby Madness Number One Seeds

Tuesday in a national conference call, trainer Todd Pletcher was asked to name the figurative four number one seeds on the Kentucky Derby Trail, and he didn't hesitate with his answer.

 Wednesday, April 04, 2012

Updated Kentucky Derby Graded Earnings Chart

There were a lot of changes to the Kentucky Derby graded earnings chart over the weekend. Number 20 on the list now has $188,000, with several major preps left.

 Monday, April 02, 2012
Derby Earnings List Update: Late Nominees

Derby Earnings List Update: Late Nominees

Our Kentucky Derby earnings chart now includes five horse late-nominated to the Triple Crown with graded earnings within the range set out on the chart -- and two of them are in the top 20.

 Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Downey: Spiral A Handicapping Headache

This race shows even matchups on paper, so like an NCAA Tournament game, it could result in a big surprise.

 Friday, March 23, 2012

Downey Profile: Late Mover Could Win Rebel

It could turn out to be a bust, but I picked my winner of the Grade II Rebel Stakes about two weeks ago.

 Friday, March 16, 2012

Palm Beach: How Great Is Dullahan?

Paddy O'Prado won the grade III Palm Beach Stakes in 2010, but last year Joes Blazing Aaron came away with the win. He went on to finish sixth in the grade I Toyota Blue Grass and has lost seven straight races.

 Friday, March 09, 2012

Creative Cause the Pick in San Felipe

You could say that no race so far this year will weed out so many potentially serious Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) contenders as the grade II San Felipe -- but that's not necessarily the case.

 Thursday, March 08, 2012

Downey Profile: Gotham Full of Gambles

The Gotham Stakes is one of those races that could end up exactly like you thought it wouldn't -- so maybe it will.

 Thursday, March 01, 2012

Discreet Dancer's Challenges in FOY

The grade II Fountain of Youth could come down to whether one of the three top-rated horses reacts well to a touch of the whip.

 Friday, February 24, 2012

Unbridled's Note Looks Tough in Southwest

The first division of the grade III Southwest Stakes looks like the stronger of the two, so we may have to work that much harder to find the winner. Let's get right down to it for both divisions.

 Saturday, February 18, 2012

Downey Profile: Ever So Lucky's Mixed Signals

Most of the horses in the Grade II Hutcheson Stakes field have something in common. And then there's Ever So Lucky.

 Thursday, February 09, 2012

Downey Profile: Davis Full of Winning Angles

The grade III Sam F. Davis looks like a wide-open affair going in, so let's see if we can winnow out some angles.

 Friday, February 03, 2012

Downey Profile: Might Take Some Swagger

The grade III Withers Stakes adds spice to the dead-of-winter Triple Crown Trail in New York. In the spirit of things, Dick Downey looks for a horse to upset Alpha.

 Thursday, February 02, 2012

Kentucky Derby by the Speed Numbers

We take a look at times, Beyer figs, speed figs, track variants and Brisnet figs for 1 1/8-mile Derby prep races.

 Friday, May 06, 2011

Comprehensive Kentucky Derby Workout Report

This report takes a look at recent workouts of every horse probable or possible to make the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands field at this point. It summarizes last-race information and workouts since then.

 Friday, April 29, 2011

Dick's Picks: Blue Grass Is One Tough Race

The evolution of the Grade I Toyota Blue Grass has resulted in quite a few turf horses coming this year, something that surely wasn't expected back when Keeneland switched from dirt to Polytrack.

 Thursday, April 14, 2011

Kentucky Derby Graded Earnings Chart

Updated list of contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I), ranked by graded earnings and with connections' information.

 Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next

We'll start by identifying a few horses that qualify for the Kentucky Derby but that may or may not compete in the race, and then we'll get into the probables and possibles for the upcoming prep races.

 Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Will Uncle Mo Be Upset? Not Likely

If you watched the final game of the NCAA tournament, you have a feel for the makeup of the Grade I Wood Memorial field, except for one horse.

 Thursday, April 07, 2011

Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next

With only four weekends left before the Kentucky Derby, there are still dozens of horses in competition for a spot in the starting gate at Churchill Downs. Here's a rundown of next-start plans for 70 individual horses.

 Tuesday, April 05, 2011

To Honor and Serve is Choice in Florida Derby

Sometimes you have to go out on a limb, and I guess today is just one of those days. But I can't help myself, I think To Honor and Serve will win the grade I Florida Derby.

 Friday, April 01, 2011

Derby Contenders: Where They're Going Next

While we're well down the road to the Kentucky Derby, we still have a few little races to run--most of them grade I's at a mile and an eighth. Here's a summary of where 56 contenders are going next.

 Wednesday, March 30, 2011

What Will Spiral Toward the Derby?

The Grade II Vinery Racing Spiral Stakes could set up with a traditional handicapping scenario: Early contested speed followed by stalkers with a chance to win. On paper anyway, this is a tough race.

 Friday, March 25, 2011

Next-Race Plans: Where They're Going Next

It's hard to believe that when this Saturday comes and goes, only six weeks will remain to the Kentucky Derby. Time flies when you're having fun. So here we go--where will the contenders and pretenders be running next.

 Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Downey Profile: Many Factors Sway Rebel Pick

The grade II Rebel Stakes is, frankly, a difficult race to predict. But that doesn't mean we won't try. Let's start out with some numbers. If you didn't like numbers, you wouldn't be reading this in the first place.

 Friday, March 18, 2011

Road to the Derby: Next-Race Plans

As the list of contenders for the Kentucky Derby begins to shrink, but with a lot of hopefuls still gunning for the first Saturday in May, here are next-race plans for 53 horses on our lists

 Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Dick's Picks: Jump on Board in Gotham?

It's refreshing and unusual to hear an owner flat-out say in so many words that "we are here to win this race, and I'll be disappointed if we don't," but that's pretty much what Mike Repole said about the Gotham Stakes.

 Thursday, March 03, 2011

Derby Trail: Where They're Going Next

It feels like halftime in the 2011 Road to the Kentucky Derby. After last weekend, we culled numerous horses from our lists at The Downey Profile. Here are next-race plans--or lack of plans--for 65 horses still on our lists.

 Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Fountain of Youth: It's Upside vs. Experience

The field for the Grade II Fountain of Youth Stakes could be divided into two camps, with four of the entries having a fair amount of starts under their belts and four having limited experience and thus more upside potential.

 Thursday, February 24, 2011

Downey Profile: Parity in Risen Star Vexing

In 2010, only two horses shipped over from South Florida to compete in the grade II Risen Star Stakes, producing the winner, but this year there are five such shippers comprising half the field.

 Thursday, February 17, 2011

Downey Profile: Brethren to Win in the Davis

While Brethren is the morning line favorite in the Grade III Sam F. Davis Stakes, he's a 5-2 favorite, not a 6-5 favorite. Not yet, anyway.

 Friday, February 11, 2011

Downey Profile: Holy Bull Has Mucho to Offer

The field for the grade III Holy Bull Stakes on Sunday is solid enough top to bottom that all nine entries are on the lists we maintain at The Downey Profile. And why not, with $400,000 on the line?

 Friday, January 28, 2011

Downey Profile: Gourmet Dinner Tries to Sweep

The Florida Stallion In Reality Stakes affords us the opportunity to see a top Florida-bred juvenile in action at Calder on Saturday, Gourmet Dinner.

 Friday, October 15, 2010

Downey: Dixiana A Tough Nut to Crack

This large field could produce some surprises, but then again, how surprised could we be at anything that happens when there are six horses with morning lines between 4-1 and 8-1?

 Friday, October 08, 2010

Downey: Who'll Get to the Eighth Pole First?

In 52 of the last 55 runnings of the Kentucky Derby, the winner was either on the lead with an eighth of a mile to go in the race, within a length of the lead, or running second although more than a length off the leader.

 Tuesday, April 27, 2010
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