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BloodHorse.com Articles for "The Downey Profile"

Breeders' Cup Sprint Probables, Possibles

There's no shortage of good sprinters lining up for what is, every year, one of the most exciting races of Breeders' Cup.

 Friday, October 12, 2012

Breeders' Cup Classic Probables, Possibles

The list of probables for the Breeders' Cup Classic will undoubtedly change before pre-entries are due on Oct. 22, but here's the best we know based on the information that's out there.

 Thursday, October 11, 2012

New: Kentucky Derby Graded Earnings List

With nearly all of the prep races for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) completed, here are the rankings by earnings in graded stakes races that will be used to determine the 20 starters in the classic.

 Monday, April 18, 2011

Downey: Can Mucho Macho Man Be Beaten?

There's reason to believe Mucho Macho Man could be beaten in the Grade II Louisiana Derby, but there's also reason to think he'll run well.

 Thursday, March 24, 2011

The Downey Profile: Blue Grass Gamble

Question: Which horse in the grade I Toyota Blue Grass has run best on Keeneland's Polytrack?

 Thursday, April 08, 2010

Downey: Florida Derby An Upset in the Making?

I'd rather try my longshot and lose than take a short price. There are several quality horses that will offer decent odds.

 Thursday, March 18, 2010

Lexington Stakes: Looking for the Upset

With Square Eddie the center of attention in the Grade II Coolmore Lexington Stakes, we look for the contenders to upset him.

 Thursday, April 16, 2009

Will Derby '09 Be Another Trend-Breaker?

They say in the markets, or used to say it anyway, that the trend is your friend. Not always so in the Kentucky Derby, however. Will this be yet another year for a Kentucky Derby barrier to fall? Let's take a look at the past, which is known, and the future, which is unknowable. As the clock tower at The Curragh says, "Time Reveals All."

 Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Jockey Angle in Risen Star

Shaun Bridgmohan, who's been riding all three of the Steve Asmussen entries in the Risen Star--Dumar (Worth Watching), Soul Warrior (Worth Watching) and Uno Mas (Worth Watching)--has chosen to get on board Dumar, who's a 20-1 morning line.

 Thursday, February 05, 2009

Downey: Rebel's 'Other' Other Colt

On Monday, Steve Asmussen sent two colts out to breeze on the track, one at Oaklawn Park, and one at Fair Grounds. But both are entered in the Grade II Rebel Stakes.

 Friday, March 14, 2008

Downey Profile: Whirlaway Tough

Four of the seven starters in Saturday's Whirlaway Stakes were purchased for six figures at four different sales, and our focus is on most of them.

 Friday, February 01, 2008

The Downey Profile: Derby by the Numbers

If four or five contenders start in the 2007 Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) off only two prior 3-year-old starts, history shows us it's been tried before--but not much, and with mixed success. Here are some hard statistics.

 Friday, February 23, 2007

Downey Profile Analysis: What Are the Trends for the Distaff?

Pace makes the race, but when it comes to big races, it doesn't hurt to study the trends, either. The Emirates Airline Distaff is no exception.

 Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Downey Profile Analysis: A Contrarian View of the Rebel Stakes

The Kentucky Derby picture may start looking somewhat muddled at some point, but so far this year, the Road to the Derby has been pretty clear-cut. Favorites won the San Rafael (gr. II), Holy Bull (gr. III), Sham (gr. III), San Vicente (gr. II), Whirlaway, Sam F. Davis, Southwest, Santa Catalina (gr. II), and the California Derby. The gravitational pull is so hard, a disqualification placed the favorite first in the Fountain of Youth (gr. II). The issue this weekend is whether we view the trend as our friend in the Rebel Stakes (gr. III). We'll take the contrarian view, if things develop as we think they will.

 Friday, March 17, 2006

Downey Profile Analysis: 'Horse for the Course' Doesn't Work in Derby

At TheDowneyProfile.com, we utilize 13 factors more common to Kentucky Derby winners than non-winners, based on our 33-year study, in order to create an objective, weighted-factor predictor of Kentucky Derby success. One factor that we do not use is the "horse for the course" handicapping angle, the one that looks to horses that have run well at Churchill Downs.

 Friday, March 10, 2006

Thumbnail Assessment, Top 35 in Graded Earnings

Here are the top 35 three-year-olds in graded stakes earnings.

 Tuesday, April 06, 2004

Will the Saint Go Marching Into the Winner's Circle--or Back to the Barn?

The question in the 67th Santa Anita Derby, with Lion Heart going to Lexington to run in the Grade I Toyota Blue Grass Stakes instead of here, is who will go to the lead.

 Friday, April 02, 2004