Downey Profile: Blue Grass Is A Real Bear
It's the end of the Polytrack era at Keeneland, so let's take a look at the what we have in the last Toyota Blue Grass Stakes on synthetic.
The Downey Profile
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Downey Profile: Poker Player A Spiral Gamble
The decision to put Poker Player into the Spiral Stakes lends confidence in the motivations of his connections.
Downey Appointed to Judicial Position in KY
Dick Downey, an attorney and founder of the "Downey Profile" that is a regular feature at Bloodhorse.com, has been appointed by Kentucky Gov. Steve Beshear as a Warren (Bowling Green) Circuit Family Court Judge.
Candy Boy the Choice in Robert B. Lewis
The Robert B. Lewis Stakes drew only seven entries, but that's consistent with the average field size for this race the last seven years. Let's take a look at who might win it.
Breeders' Cup Sprint Probables, Possibles
There's no shortage of good sprinters lining up for what is, every year, one of the most exciting races of Breeders' Cup.
Breeders' Cup Classic Probables, Possibles
The list of probables for the Breeders' Cup Classic will undoubtedly change before pre-entries are due on Oct. 22, but here's the best we know based on the information that's out there.
New: Kentucky Derby Graded Earnings List
With nearly all of the prep races for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) completed, here are the rankings by earnings in graded stakes races that will be used to determine the 20 starters in the classic.
Downey: Can Mucho Macho Man Be Beaten?
There's reason to believe Mucho Macho Man could be beaten in the Grade II Louisiana Derby, but there's also reason to think he'll run well.
The Downey Profile: Blue Grass Gamble
Question: Which horse in the grade I Toyota Blue Grass has run best on Keeneland's Polytrack?
Downey: Florida Derby An Upset in the Making?
I'd rather try my longshot and lose than take a short price. There are several quality horses that will offer decent odds.
Lexington Stakes: Looking for the Upset
With Square Eddie the center of attention in the Grade II Coolmore Lexington Stakes, we look for the contenders to upset him.
Will Derby '09 Be Another Trend-Breaker?
They say in the markets, or used to say it anyway, that the trend is your friend. Not always so in the Kentucky Derby, however. Will this be yet another year for a Kentucky Derby barrier to fall? Let's take a look at the past, which is known, and the future, which is unknowable. As the clock tower at The Curragh says, "Time Reveals All."
Jockey Angle in Risen Star
Shaun Bridgmohan, who's been riding all three of the Steve Asmussen entries in the Risen Star--Dumar (Worth Watching), Soul Warrior (Worth Watching) and Uno Mas (Worth Watching)--has chosen to get on board Dumar, who's a 20-1 morning line.
Downey: Rebel's 'Other' Other Colt
On Monday, Steve Asmussen sent two colts out to breeze on the track, one at Oaklawn Park, and one at Fair Grounds. But both are entered in the Grade II Rebel Stakes.
Downey Profile: Whirlaway Tough
Four of the seven starters in Saturday's Whirlaway Stakes were purchased for six figures at four different sales, and our focus is on most of them.
The Downey Profile: Derby by the Numbers
If four or five contenders start in the 2007 Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) off only two prior 3-year-old starts, history shows us it's been tried before--but not much, and with mixed success. Here are some hard statistics.
Downey Profile Analysis: What Are the Trends for the Distaff?
Pace makes the race, but when it comes to big races, it doesn't hurt to study the trends, either. The Emirates Airline Distaff is no exception.
Downey Profile Analysis: A Contrarian View of the Rebel Stakes
The Kentucky Derby picture may start looking somewhat muddled at some point, but so far this year, the Road to the Derby has been pretty clear-cut. Favorites won the San Rafael (gr. II), Holy Bull (gr. III), Sham (gr. III), San Vicente (gr. II), Whirlaway, Sam F. Davis, Southwest, Santa Catalina (gr. II), and the California Derby. The gravitational pull is so hard, a disqualification placed the favorite first in the Fountain of Youth (gr. II). The issue this weekend is whether we view the trend as our friend in the Rebel Stakes (gr. III). We'll take the contrarian view, if things develop as we think they will.
Downey Profile Analysis: 'Horse for the Course' Doesn't Work in Derby
At TheDowneyProfile.com, we utilize 13 factors more common to Kentucky Derby winners than non-winners, based on our 33-year study, in order to create an objective, weighted-factor predictor of Kentucky Derby success. One factor that we do not use is the "horse for the course" handicapping angle, the one that looks to horses that have run well at Churchill Downs.
Thumbnail Assessment, Top 35 in Graded Earnings
Here are the top 35 three-year-olds in graded stakes earnings.
Will the Saint Go Marching Into the Winner's Circle--or Back to the Barn?
The question in the 67th Santa Anita Derby, with Lion Heart going to Lexington to run in the Grade I Toyota Blue Grass Stakes instead of here, is who will go to the lead.
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