Paddy O'Prado won the grade III Palm Beach Stakes in 2010, but last year Joes Blazing Aaron came away with the win. He went on to finish sixth in the grade I Toyota Blue Grass and has lost seven straight races.
You could say that no race so far this year will weed out so many potentially serious Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) contenders as the grade II San Felipe -- but that's not necessarily the case.
The Gotham Stakes is one of those races that could end up exactly like you thought it wouldn't -- so maybe it will.
The grade II Fountain of Youth could come down to whether one of the three top-rated horses reacts well to a touch of the whip.
The first division of the grade III Southwest Stakes looks like the stronger of the two, so we may have to work that much harder to find the winner. Let's get right down to it for both divisions.
Most of the horses in the Grade II Hutcheson Stakes field have something in common. And then there's Ever So Lucky.
The grade III Sam F. Davis looks like a wide-open affair going in, so let's see if we can winnow out some angles.
The grade III Withers Stakes adds spice to the dead-of-winter Triple Crown Trail in New York. In the spirit of things, Dick Downey looks for a horse to upset Alpha.
Will this year's compact field yield an established favorite or an improving horse in the winner's circle when the Holy Bull Stakes is run Jan. 29 at Gulfstream Park?
We take a look at times, Beyer figs, speed figs, track variants and Brisnet figs for 1 1/8-mile Derby prep races.
This report takes a look at recent workouts of every horse probable or possible to make the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands field at this point. It summarizes last-race information and workouts since then.
This report takes a look at recent workouts of every horse probable or possible to make the Kentucky Derby field at this point. It summarizes last-race information and workouts since then.
With nearly all of the prep races for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) completed, here are the rankings by earnings in graded stakes races that will be used to determine the 20 starters in the classic.
The evolution of the Grade I Toyota Blue Grass has resulted in quite a few turf horses coming this year, something that surely wasn't expected back when Keeneland switched from dirt to Polytrack.
Updated list of contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I), ranked by graded earnings and with connections' information.
We'll start by identifying a few horses that qualify for the Kentucky Derby but that may or may not compete in the race, and then we'll get into the probables and possibles for the upcoming prep races.
If you watched the final game of the NCAA tournament, you have a feel for the makeup of the Grade I Wood Memorial field, except for one horse.
With only four weekends left before the Kentucky Derby, there are still dozens of horses in competition for a spot in the starting gate at Churchill Downs. Here's a rundown of next-start plans for 70 individual horses.
Sometimes you have to go out on a limb, and I guess today is just one of those days. But I can't help myself, I think To Honor and Serve will win the grade I Florida Derby.
While we're well down the road to the Kentucky Derby, we still have a few little races to run--most of them grade I's at a mile and an eighth. Here's a summary of where 56 contenders are going next.
The Grade II Vinery Racing Spiral Stakes could set up with a traditional handicapping scenario: Early contested speed followed by stalkers with a chance to win. On paper anyway, this is a tough race.
There's reason to believe Mucho Macho Man could be beaten in the Grade II Louisiana Derby, but there's also reason to think he'll run well.
It's hard to believe that when this Saturday comes and goes, only six weeks will remain to the Kentucky Derby. Time flies when you're having fun. So here we go--where will the contenders and pretenders be running next.
The grade II Rebel Stakes is, frankly, a difficult race to predict. But that doesn't mean we won't try. Let's start out with some numbers. If you didn't like numbers, you wouldn't be reading this in the first place.
It's refreshing and unusual to hear an owner flat-out say in so many words that "we are here to win this race, and I'll be disappointed if we don't," but that's pretty much what Mike Repole said about the Gotham Stakes.
It feels like halftime in the 2011 Road to the Kentucky Derby. After last weekend, we culled numerous horses from our lists at The Downey Profile. Here are next-race plans--or lack of plans--for 65 horses still on our lists.
The field for the Grade II Fountain of Youth Stakes could be divided into two camps, with four of the entries having a fair amount of starts under their belts and four having limited experience and thus more upside potential.
The first races on the Road to the Roses contest are this weekend. With that in mind, we bring you the current status and/or plans--or lack of plans--of 80 horses maintained on our lists.
In 2010, only two horses shipped over from South Florida to compete in the grade II Risen Star Stakes, producing the winner, but this year there are five such shippers comprising half the field.
While Brethren is the morning line favorite in the Grade III Sam F. Davis Stakes, he's a 5-2 favorite, not a 6-5 favorite. Not yet, anyway.
The field for the grade III Holy Bull Stakes on Sunday is solid enough top to bottom that all nine entries are on the lists we maintain at The Downey Profile. And why not, with $400,000 on the line?
The Florida Stallion In Reality Stakes affords us the opportunity to see a top Florida-bred juvenile in action at Calder on Saturday, Gourmet Dinner.
This large field could produce some surprises, but then again, how surprised could we be at anything that happens when there are six horses with morning lines between 4-1 and 8-1?
It's time for well-run, publicly-listed businesses to be allowed the opportunity to buy the NYRA tracks. Read Blog
Question: Which horse in the grade I Toyota Blue Grass has run best on Keeneland's Polytrack?
The 2010 edition of the grade III Illinois Derby is not a very good race, but it's a good betting race.
Any horse moving on to the Kentucky Derby from the Grade I Wood Memorial will be deprived of competing against a large field on Saturday. Aside from that, this could turn into a rider's race and odd things could happen.
Connemara is the early favorite in the grade II Lane's End Stakes, so let's try to beat him with a concise analysis. This is a tough race to handicap, so I will go with value lurking in the shadows.
The early pace will definitively shape the Louisiana Derby, and so we should know after about a half-mile if the closers have a chance to win. Will there be enough early lick for that to happen?
I'd rather try my longshot and lose than take a short price. There are several quality horses that will offer decent odds.
The pace scenario in the grade II Rebel is neatly arranged. From seven entries, we have one with early speed, one that lags back, and five that can be expected to press or stalk. The stalker that finishes best should win.
Only seven are entered in the Tampa Bay Derby, but boy, what a tough race--unless Super Saver runs the way he did in his last race--or Odysseus.
I really hope it doesn't rain too hard at Santa Anita on Saturday because I am getting tired of these postponements.
The first Kentucky Derby Graded Earnings list to be released this year has 47 horses listed.
The grade III Sham Stakes brings together a mixture of local horses looking to break out of maiden and allowance company in a big way.
With new positions in a re-drawn Southwest Stakes, the complexion of the race has changed.
He isn't the most expensive horse in the Southwest Stakes, he hasn't raced at the track, and he ships in with a lack of two-turn experience. But he might just win this race.
Rule looks to be the controlling pace in Saturday's Sam F. Davis Stakes (gr. III) at Tampa Bay Downs, and his speed figures tower over the competition.
Saturday, Feb. 6, is the third anniversary of Tiz Chrome's foal date, and connections may very well have a birthday party in the winner's circle of the grade II Robert B. Lewis Stakes.
- By Ron Mitchell
Though he plans to remain in the Thoroughbred business, prominent horse owner Ahmed Zayat said Feb. 3 he has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for his Zayat Stables.
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